Suppose you are planning to buy a house and you have got enough money to finance it , wont you just go ahead and buy the house of your dreams ? Without having to go through the hassles of home loan or maybe personal loan to realise your dream. If your answer is yes , just brace yourself for one of the biggest myth buster of your life.
One of the biggest myths prevalent among Indian public, even among industry is that loan is something to be abhorred at. It is considered as a wasteful expenditure (in form of outgoing interst ) at best and a credit trap at worst. But there can be some very compelling reasons for availing loan for both individual and organisations. While for some loan is unavoidable for the need of resources, for others it may prove to be a very shrewd decision in both objective and subjective terms.
Corporate Finance guys swear by the concept of “Opportunity Cost “. It dictates that while calculating returns from one avenue, we should take into account expected returns from alternate avenues as well. The virtual returns that are foregone from other avenues are known as Opportunity Cost.
Lets see how its relevant for our Case Study –
Suppose Mr. Saxena has got 30 lakhs liquid fund kitty and he is thinking of buying a home worth 32 lakhs. He was very happy assuming his decision to buy property at a very opportune time and being able to finance it as well. But then his Financial Advisor Mr. Gupta, suggested him something that just shocked him. He suggested him to avail a Home Loan. He cited mainly three reasons for the same –
- First and foremost being Opportunity Cost of investing the money which will be rather used to pay for the home.
- Tax Benefits of availing Home Loan
- Better Liquidity Management
Home Loan rates typically vary from 10-11 % depending on factors like credit availability, Monetary policy of RBI , competition among banks etc etc.
Tenure of loan varies from 10 years till 30 years.
Loan is paid back in the form of Equated Monthly Instalments (EMIs) which have a part of them consisting of interst and rest consisting of principle amount. So each month you are paying both interst and principal amount back to lender.
Talking of investments, returns may vary from secure 8 % of Fixed Deposits to anything in the range of -100% to 100% (even more) in stock markets. As demonstrated in last article, investments follow rule of compounding i.e returns of investments become investments in next investment cycle, so in a way we earn return on return as well.
Starting with this prelude, Mr. Gupta then continued with an Excel calculation (Financial Advisors can creep Excel even into Marriage) :)
Assuming that Mr. Saxena can avail at max 80% of property cost as Home Loan, he will need a Home Loan of approximate 26 lakhs ( 80% of 32 lakhs ) for a period of say 20 years , which is the most prevalent tenure of home loans.
So here is the outflow analysis in case he takes a Home Loan –
Loan Rate
|
Interest Payout
|
Tax Benefit (@10%)
|
Net Interst Outflow
|
Gross Outflow
|
8%
|
2619386
|
261939
|
2357447
|
4957447
|
10%
|
3421735
|
342174
|
3079562
|
5679562
|
12%
|
4270777
|
427078
|
3843700
|
6443700
|
14%
|
5159570
|
515957
|
4643613
|
7243613
|
Loan Rate = Annual Rate of Interest on the Loan availed
Interest Payout = Total Interest Paid for the tenure of loan
Tax Benefit = Total Tax Benefit (assuming an applicable Tax bracket of 10%)
Net Interest Outflow = Outflow in form of interest net of Tax Benefit
Gross Outflow = Outflow of Interest and Principal Amount, net of Tax Benefit
Now lets assume the money he saved paying to the seller, by availing loan, is invested in some funds. The corpus of this fund after 20 years (tenure of the loan) at different rate of returns will be as below –
Investment Returns
|
Corpus at End
|
6%
|
8338552
|
8%
|
12118489
|
10%
|
17491500
|
12%
|
25080362
|
Mr. Gupta is known to have a very loyal client base. Secret lies in he always planning taking in view Worst Case Scenarios. So even here he analysed taking in view worst probabilities in both Loan and Investment cases. He assumed 14% loan rate (which is as much possible as India winning Football World Cup :) ) and 6% investment returns which are lower even by prevailing assured Fixed Deposit returns of 8%.
Gross Outflow in case of 14% Home Loan is 7243613, while Gross accumulation of Investments in case of 6% Annualised Rate of Return is 8338552. A difference of 1094939 i.e. approx A WHOPPING 11 LAKHS.
So Mr. Saxena saves or earns 11 lakhs even in the worst of the worst case scenarios. Imagine his returns in case Home Loan rate is around general range of 10-11 % and returns hover in the range of 10-12%.
I will cover Tax Benefit part in coming articles. As for liquidity part, we all know that it is always easier to withdraw money from FD than from property. Isn’t it?
The learning – sometimes thinking out of the box can be really rewarding , if not only pleasantly surprising. :)
Will keep surprising you … :)